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توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 65% Map 2 Winner 64% Map 1 Winner 55% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $158K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner65%
Map 2 Winner64%
Map 1 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs BBL (+1.5)38%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: counter-strike: 100 thieves vs bbl (bo3) - stake pulse beat ii playoffs stands at 65% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between 100 Thieves and BBL in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 7:00 AM…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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