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توقع: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5) 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $305K Liquidity: $321K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game 4 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-2.5) vs Spirit Academy (+2.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: TS.A (-2.5) vs Level UP (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Spirit Academy and Level UP in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

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