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توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 64% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 61% Game 1 Winner 59% Game 2 Winner 59% Volume: $2.8M Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
64% 36% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
64% 36% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner64%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?61%
Game 1 Winner59%
Game 2 Winner59%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?57%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?46%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Ends in Daytime44%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks36%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Beat Roshan27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage13%
Any Player Rampage8%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: dota 2: team spirit vs team liquid (bo3) - the international playoffs stands at 64% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 a…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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