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توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Ends in Daytime 100% Game 2 Winner 74% O/U 2.5 Games 74% First Blood in Game 1? 62% Volume: $3.5M Liquidity: $640K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Game 2 Winner74%
O/U 2.5 Games74%
First Blood in Game 1?62%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Match Winner44%
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)28%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 2?5%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

The توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 2 match between Team Yandex and PARIVISION in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 18 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Te…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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