Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Cremonese (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| UC Sampdoria (-1.5) | 0% |
| US Cremonese (-2.5) | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Cremonese O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Cremonese 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Cremonese 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Coppa Italia fixture between US Cremonese and UC Sampdoria is set for 17 August at 14:45 ET, with settlement contingent on whether additional betting markets materialise for the match. Cremonese, competing in Serie B, finished fourth in the 2023–24 season and secured promotion-playoff qualification; Sampdoria, also Serie B-based, ended ninth and enters the cup competition from a lower seeding position. Both clubs have undergone significant squad turnover during the summer window, making recent pre-season form and available team news critical to assessing match likelihood and market depth.
The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that supplementary markets will be offered, a pattern established across Italian cup fixtures of this profile. Historical precedent shows Coppa Italia matches involving Serie B sides generate secondary markets—goal-scorer bets, corner counts, card totals—within 48 hours of fixture confirmation, particularly when both teams carry established supporter bases and media coverage. Sampdoria's higher profile and larger fanbase typically guarantee broader market availability than lower-division opponents alone would command.
Traders should monitor official Coppa Italia fixture confirmations and any last-minute venue or scheduling changes, which occasionally trigger market suspension or settlement delays. Team news regarding injuries to key players—particularly any pre-match withdrawals from either squad—can influence bookmaker appetite for secondary markets. Fixture postponements or cancellations, whilst uncommon in domestic cup play, remain a settlement risk; confirmation of final squad lists and official team sheets typically arrives 24 hours before kick-off.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Cremonese vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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