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توقع: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 3.5 Games 69% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 51% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Any Player Penta Kill 51% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $97K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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توقع: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games69%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)47%
Game 4 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner45%
Game 3 Winner45%
Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)45%
Game 1 Winner44%
Match Winner37%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers (+2.5)12%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: lol: t1 vs dn soopers (bo5) - kespa cup playoffs stands at 69% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between T1 and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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