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توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 6.5 60% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 54% Extra Innings 50% Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers 47% Volume: $384K Liquidity: $576K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 6.560%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.554%
Extra Innings50%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers47%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.540%
O/U 7.539%
Spread -1.534%
Spread -1.533%
O/U 8.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.525%
O/U 9.522%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.518%
Spread -2.516%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.514%
NRFI1%

Market context

The Cleveland Guardians travel to Detroit on 13 August for an afternoon matchup against the Tigers in what shapes as a divisional contest with playoff implications for both AL Central contenders. The 47% implied probability for a Guardians victory reflects genuine competitive balance, though context matters significantly. Cleveland enters August as a consistent postseason threat with a winning record, whilst Detroit has mounted an unexpected challenge after years of rebuilding, making this fixture consequential for both franchises' September positioning.

Historical head-to-head records between these clubs show relatively even splits over recent seasons, with home-field advantage proving marginal in their matchups. The Tigers' recent resurgence—driven by improved pitching depth and emerging offensive contributions from younger players—has narrowed what was once a pronounced talent gap. Cleveland's experience in tight races typically translates to steadier performance down the stretch, yet Detroit's hunger and home-crowd support at Comerica Park cannot be discounted, particularly in day games where the Tigers have shown inconsistent but occasionally explosive form.

Traders should monitor pre-game roster announcements regarding injuries to key position players or starting pitchers for both sides, as the August 13 fixture falls within a period when teams often manage workload for veterans. Recent trades or call-ups could alter lineup construction materially. Weather conditions at Comerica Park—afternoon games frequently feature wind patterns affecting fly-ball outcomes—warrant checking forecasts closer to game time. Any last-minute bullpen availability changes or unexpected roster moves in the 48 hours preceding first pitch will likely shift the current probability meaningfully.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 6.5 at 60% for "توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers".

O/U 6.5 60% Other 40%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $384K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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