Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| NRFI | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Extra Innings | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | 16% |
| O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| O/U 10.5 | 12% |
| Spread -1.5 | 8% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
Market context
The Colorado Rockies travel to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks on 11 August in a National League West matchup with significant playoff implications for both clubs. The 16% implied probability for a Rockies victory reflects their challenging position: Colorado has struggled on the road throughout 2026, whilst Arizona sits higher in divisional standings and maintains a stronger run differential at this stage of the season.
Historical matchups between these division rivals show the Diamondbacks have held a consistent edge over recent seasons, though individual games remain volatile given both teams' inconsistent offensive production. The Rockies' home-field advantage disappears entirely in this fixture, a factor that has cost them roughly 1.5 wins per month according to their split records. Arizona's pitching rotation has shown marked improvement since mid-July, particularly in limiting walks and home runs—two areas where Colorado's batters have capitalised against weaker opponents.
Traders should monitor roster updates in the 48 hours before first pitch, particularly injury status for the Rockies' starting pitcher and Arizona's designated hitter, both of whom have been managing minor ailments. Weather conditions at Chase Field—typically favouring fly-ball hitters—may shift if monsoon activity moves through the Phoenix area. Recent team announcements regarding bullpen usage patterns could also signal fatigue levels heading into this fixture. The settlement window extends to 19 August, allowing for postponement scenarios should weather force a delay.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $501K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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