Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 73% |
| O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| NRFI | 46% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | 45% |
| O/U 8.5 | 44% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| Extra Innings | 6% |
Market context
The Chicago White Sox travel to Detroit on 15 August for a midweek divisional matchup against the Tigers, with first pitch scheduled for 1:10 PM ET. The 45% implied probability for a White Sox victory reflects a near-even contest, though the Tigers' recent performance and home-field advantage merit scrutiny. Detroit has won eight of its last twelve games heading into mid-August, whilst Chicago's 2024 season has been marked by inconsistency and a rebuilding trajectory that has left them well below .500 for much of the campaign.
Historical divisional records between these clubs show the White Sox hold a marginal edge in head-to-head matchups over the past three seasons, though home splits have become increasingly pronounced across MLB. The Tigers' Comerica Park has favoured the home side substantially this year, with Detroit posting a notably stronger record at home than on the road. Injury status will be critical: monitor whether Chicago's starting pitcher is operating at full capacity and whether Detroit has any late-roster changes that affect their lineup depth.
Traders should track lineup announcements released 24 hours before first pitch, as both teams occasionally shuffle their rosters for divisional play. Weather conditions on game day—particularly wind direction at Comerica Park—can significantly influence outcomes in August. The settlement window extends to 22 August, providing a week buffer for any postponements, though cancellations without make-up games would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $199K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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