Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
83% | 17% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
83% | 17% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 83% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 63% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | 61% |
| O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| NRFI | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| O/U 11.5 | 41% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| Extra Innings | 10% |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers and Athletics meet again after a lopsided run in this matchup: Detroit has taken the last three head-to-head games by 6-2, 6-1 and 4-1, and the Tigers’ recent wins were driven by starting pitching and early power rather than late comebacks.[1][3][4] That matters for a market priced at 61% YES on Detroit, because the last series has already shown a clear edge in run prevention and home-run output against this opponent.[1][4]
Recent form also leans Detroit. The Tigers won seven of eight before the latest game in the set, while the Athletics had lost five straight and nine of ten at one point in the same stretch.[1] Broader recent numbers point the same way: one preview had Detroit 5-5 over its last 10 with a 4.06 team ERA, versus Oakland’s 3-7 and 4.80 ERA, and another listed the Athletics at 45-65 with a 2-8 last-10 record and a 5.38 ERA.[6][7] That is the profile of a modest favourite rather than a coin flip.
What traders should watch is the final line-up and pitching announcement, because this is a short-window market and late changes can move the price more than season records. CBS’ live game tracker listed Reese Olson, Jackson Jobe, Trey Sweeney and Beau Brieske among the Tigers’ injured players, with Olson and Jobe expected back later in August or beyond, so Detroit’s depth could still be a factor if any rotation or bullpen pieces are unavailable.[5] The main dependency is who actually starts and whether either club rests regulars in a tight turnaround after the previous night’s game, because this fixture has already been decided by the top of the order and the starting staff rather than by random late scoring.[1][10]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $257K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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