Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
72% | 28% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
72% | 28% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| NRFI | 46% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| Extra Innings | 9% |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers host the Pittsburgh Pirates on 19 August at 12:35PM ET in a mid-season divisional matchup. The 41% implied probability for a Tigers victory reflects meaningful uncertainty despite Detroit's recent positioning in the AL Central race. Both clubs enter August with distinct trajectories: the Tigers have cycled through roster adjustments whilst the Pirates continue rebuilding efforts centred on younger talent development. Historical head-to-head records between these franchises show relatively balanced competition over recent seasons, though home-field advantage at Comerica Park typically shifts expectations by 3–5 percentage points in Detroit's favour.
Recent form and injury status will prove decisive. The Tigers' rotation depth and bullpen reliability have fluctuated considerably through July and early August, with several key relievers managing workload concerns. Pittsburgh's pitching staff, conversely, has shown modest improvement in limiting runs but remains vulnerable to sustained offensive pressure. Lineup availability—particularly whether Detroit's core hitters face any late-week absences—directly impacts run-scoring capacity. Traders should monitor official roster announcements through 18 August and any weather alerts affecting field conditions at Comerica, as August humidity in Detroit occasionally influences ball carry and defensive positioning. The settlement window extends to 26 August to accommodate potential postponements, though the scheduled day-game format reduces weather-related delay risk compared to evening fixtures.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $359K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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