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توقع: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox

Football snapshot for "توقع: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

NRFI 100% O/U 9.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $752K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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توقع: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 9.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 10.5100%
O/U 8.5100%
O/U 11.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
O/U 12.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 13.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox0%
Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
Extra Innings0%
Spread -2.50%
O/U 15.50%

Market context

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox is a late-July AL matchup in Chicago that sits near pick-em pricing rather than anything close to a routine favourite-versus-underdog spot. The market’s 0% YES implies no meaningful price is attached to one side yet, but the recent numbers point to a tight game: multiple books had Chicago narrowly favoured or essentially level with Houston, and the White Sox had been stronger at home, while Houston arrived with a sub-.500 record and recent rotation volatility[1][2][4][6][7].

The historical framing is that these teams have not been separated by much in the market this week, so the main clue is not a big talent gap but how the starting pitching has been trending. Sportsbookwire reported Houston starter Hunter Brown had a 7.98 ERA across three July starts and that the Astros had lost his last two outings, while Chicago had won five straight games he had appeared in as a starter and he carried a 1.40 ERA over his last six appearances[1]. In comparable market terms, that kind of recent pitching split is exactly what can flip a game from coin-flip territory into a live underdog home spot.

What traders should watch is the final line-up card, any late rest day for core bats, and confirmation of the starters and bullpen availability as first pitch approaches. The game was listed for 2:10 p.m. ET at Rate Field, with consensus odds still hovering around the even-money range and totals around 9 to 9.5 runs, so any scratch, weather delay, or bullpen usage from the previous night could move the price quickly[2][4][6][7]. The White Sox also came in at 31-18 at home in the cited preview, which makes the venue itself a material factor if Chicago keeps its regular order intact[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "توقع: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $752K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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