Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 73% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| NRFI | 48% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| O/U 8.5 | 44% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | 34% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Extra Innings | 8% |
Market context
The St. Louis Cardinals face the New York Yankees in a game that, by the market’s current 34% yes price, is being treated as a clear but not overwhelming long-shot for St. Louis. That level is broadly consistent with the wider pricing picture: ESPN’s early board shows Michael McGreevy opposing the Yankees’ starter and lists Cardinals player props around those expected for an underdog, while NBC Sports has the Yankees favoured at -217 with a 7.5-run total, indicating a modest-to-solid home edge rather than a runaway mismatch.[2][11]
Recent form gives the Yankees a better baseline, with New York coming in at 62-48 and St. Louis at 54-56 in the available preview data, while the Cardinals have at least kept themselves competitive against Toronto and Chicago on the road in the surrounding stretch.[3][13] For traders, the main swing factor is whether the confirmed line-ups match the early prop board: ESPN’s numbers already flag Ivan Herrera and JJ Wetherholt on the Cardinals side, which suggests the market is expecting key bats to be available.[2] If the Yankees land a stronger-than-expected batting order or the Cardinals are without regulars, that would pressure the 34% price further; if St. Louis gets full strength and McGreevy draws a favourable matchup, the underdog case improves quickly.[2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $82K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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