Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 0% |
| New York City FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% |
| New York City FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Columbus Crew meet New York City FC in the MLS regular season at Lower.com Field, and the market’s 0% YES implies traders see almost no chance of any extra “more markets” trigger resolving in play. The most recent meeting in this fixture was a 0-2 New York City FC win on 22 July 2026, which fits a generally tight head-to-head pattern rather than a chaotic one. Across the 25 listed meetings between the sides, Columbus have 10 wins and NYCFC 7, with the balance drawn, so the matchup has usually been competitive rather than one-sided. [3][2]
That recent result matters because comparable Columbus-New York City games have often landed in low-scoring territory, including a 0-0 draw in March 2025, which is relevant when the market is implicitly pricing a very specific in-match outcome. A live score source also flagged the July 22 meeting as leaning under 4.5 goals, reinforcing the idea that traders have tended to expect a controlled game state rather than a loose, end-to-end one. [4][1]
The main catalysts to watch are the team sheets and any late line-up changes, because a “more markets” outcome in MLS can depend on whether either side rotates heavily, loses a key attacker, or starts conservatively around fixture load. The July 22 match was already scheduled for 7:30 PM ET, so any pre-kickoff news on injuries, suspensions, or rest decisions would be the most direct driver of re-pricing, especially if Columbus or NYCFC were missing first-choice creators or centre-backs. [3]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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