Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
67% | 33% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
67% | 33% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| Atlanta United FC O/U 0.5 | 66% |
| Nashville SC O/U 0.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 51% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Atlanta United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nashville SC O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Both Teams to Score | 21% |
| Nashville SC (-2.5) | 17% |
| Atlanta United FC (-1.5) | 13% |
| O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Nashville SC (-1.5) | 7% |
| Nashville SC O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Atlanta United FC O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 2% |
| O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Atlanta United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Nashville SC face Atlanta United FC in an MLS fixture scheduled for 17 July at 8:00 PM ET, with the bookmakers heavily favouring the home side. Nashville enter as clear favourites with win odds of 1.40, while Atlanta sit at +506, reflecting a significant disparity in perceived strength [1][2]. This 7% YES probability on the secondary market aligns with a historical trend where Atlanta’s away form against Nashville has been poor; their last meeting in April 2026 ended in a 0-2 defeat for Atlanta, and a 1-1 draw in May 2025 was their only recent positive result [3][5].
Traders should monitor pre-match line-up announcements for Nashville, particularly regarding Hany Mukhtar’s availability, as his corner delivery previously sparked Atlanta’s only goal in their last encounter [5]. The over/under line is set at 2.5 goals, suggesting expectations of a low-scoring affair, which the predictive model supports with a projected 2-0 Nashville win at 14.3% probability [2][4]. Any late injury news or suspension updates for Atlanta’s defence could shift the secondary market dynamics, given their current winless run against Nashville in recent head-to-head fixtures.
The settlement window closes shortly after the match concludes on 18 July, meaning real-time updates on substitutions or tactical shifts will be the primary catalysts for price movement. With Nashville on a win streak and Atlanta struggling to secure victories away from home, the market’s low probability reflects the difficulty Atlanta faces in overturning this form gap [2]. Investors should watch for any deviations from the expected 2-0 scoreline, as unexpected goals could rapidly alter the implied odds on ancillary markets.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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