Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Houston Dynamo O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Houston Dynamo O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Houston Dynamo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| New England Revolution (-1.5) | 0% |
| New England Revolution (-2.5) | 0% |
| Houston Dynamo (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Houston Dynamo O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Houston Dynamo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
Market context
New England Revolution’s meeting with Houston Dynamo is the sort of MLS fixture where a seemingly blank “more markets” market can still move quickly if team news breaks late. The historical frame leans towards a home edge: New England have won five straight home meetings with Houston in Foxborough, outscoring them 11-1 in that run, while broader head-to-head records also favour the Revolution over the long term.[3][19] Recent previews have also priced New England as a narrow favourite, with model probabilities in the low-40s rather than a dominant home outlook, which fits a match that can turn on one or two selection decisions rather than broad quality gaps.[1][16]
For traders, the key catalysts are the line-ups and any late injury or suspension updates around the attacking cores. Recent previews have highlighted New England’s Carles Gil as the main chance creator and Houston’s need to cope with the Revolution’s home pressure, while Houston have also been noted in recent reporting for a shutout streak and a market line around 2.5 goals, which matters for any goals-related “more markets” pricing.[1][7] The most useful live dependencies are the confirmed starters, whether either side rotates for schedule congestion, and whether the match opens with the same low-margin profile suggested by the pre-match numbers; if the Revolution’s first-choice creators are in, that supports their usual home edge, but if Houston keep their defensive shape intact, the market can stay cautious despite the historical Foxborough pattern.[1][3][7]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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