Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| New England Revolution O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toronto FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| New England Revolution (-1.5) | 0% |
| Toronto FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| New England Revolution (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New England Revolution 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Toronto FC and New England Revolution meet in Major League Soccer on 15 August at 7:30 PM ET. The fixture falls late in the regular season, with playoff positioning likely already determined or within clear reach for both clubs. A 0% implied probability on additional markets suggests traders currently expect no supplementary betting options to be offered beyond standard match outcomes, or that settlement criteria remain undefined.
Historical precedent shows MLS fixtures in mid-August rarely trigger expanded market offerings unless a match carries playoff implications or unusual circumstances—such as a rivalry milestone, injury to a marquee player, or broadcast prominence. Toronto FC and New England have met 34 times in league play, with the Revolution holding a slight edge in head-to-head record. Recent form matters more than historical aggregate; Toronto's league position and current injury list, alongside New England's recent results and squad availability, will determine whether bookmakers see sufficient trading interest to justify additional markets. The 0% probability may reflect standard practice rather than active trader disinterest.
Traders should monitor team news releases and MLS official communications through mid-August for confirmation of squad status, particularly any late-season suspensions or injuries to key players. Fixture congestion—whether either side has midweek commitments before 15 August—affects squad rotation decisions. Confirmation of broadcast details and any special circumstances (anniversary matches, charity initiatives) could trigger market expansion. Settlement window closure at 23:30 UTC on 15 August leaves minimal post-match window for dispute resolution.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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