Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
71% | 29% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
71% | 29% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 229.5 | 71% |
| O/U 232.5 | 65% |
| Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 62% |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans | 59% |
| Bennedict Mathurin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| O/U 235.5 | 59% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| O/U 238.5 | 53% |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| O/U 239.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| O/U 240.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 48% |
| Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| O/U 241.5 | 46% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Herbert Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 242.5 | 43% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 243.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 245.5 | 38% |
| O/U 246.5 | 36% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 | 33% |
| O/U 248.5 | 32% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5 | 30% |
| Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| O/U 251.5 | 27% |
| Spread -11.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| O/U 254.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 257.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5 | 1% |
Market context
Pacers vs. Pelicans. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 59% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-22T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $70K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Pacers vs. Pelicans. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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