Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
18% | 82% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
18% | 82% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Texas Longhorns | 18% |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 14% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14% |
| Miami Hurricanes | 13% |
| LSU Tigers | 11% |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 10% |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 4% |
| Mississippi Rebels | 4% |
| Oregon Ducks | 2% |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 2% |
| USC Trojans | 2% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 1% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 1% |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 1% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 1% |
| Florida Gators | 0% |
| Team A | 0% |
| Team B | 0% |
| Team C | 0% |
| Team D | 0% |
| Team E | 0% |
| Team F | 0% |
| Team G | 0% |
| Team H | 0% |
| Team I | 0% |
| Team J | 0% |
| Team K | 0% |
| Team L | 0% |
| Team M | 0% |
| Team N | 0% |
| Team O | 0% |
| Team P | 0% |
| Team Q | 0% |
| Team R | 0% |
| Team S | 0% |
| Team T | 0% |
| Team U | 0% |
| Team V | 0% |
| Team W | 0% |
| Team X | 0% |
| Team Y | 0% |
| Team Z | 0% |
| Team AA | 0% |
| Team AB | 0% |
| Team AC | 0% |
| Team AD | 0% |
| Team AE | 0% |
| Team AF | 0% |
| Team AG | 0% |
| Team AH | 0% |
| Team AI | 0% |
| Team AJ | 0% |
| Team AK | 0% |
| Team AL | 0% |
| Team AM | 0% |
| Team AN | 0% |
| Team AO | 0% |
| Team AP | 0% |
| Team AQ | 0% |
| Team AR | 0% |
| Team AS | 0% |
| Team AT | 0% |
| Team AU | 0% |
| Team AV | 0% |
| Team AW | 0% |
| Team AX | 0% |
| Team AY | 0% |
| Team AZ | 0% |
| Team BA | 0% |
| Team BB | 0% |
| Team BC | 0% |
| Team BD | 0% |
| Team BE | 0% |
| Team BF | 0% |
| Team BG | 0% |
| Team BH | 0% |
| Team BI | 0% |
| Team BJ | 0% |
| Team BK | 0% |
| Team BL | 0% |
| Team BM | 0% |
| Team BN | 0% |
| Team BO | 0% |
| Team BP | 0% |
| Team BQ | 0% |
| Team BR | 0% |
| Team BS | 0% |
| Team BT | 0% |
| Team BU | 0% |
| Team BV | 0% |
| Team BW | 0% |
| Team BX | 0% |
| Team BY | 0% |
| Team BZ | 0% |
| Team CA | 0% |
| Team CB | 0% |
| Team CC | 0% |
| Team CD | 0% |
| Team CE | 0% |
| Team CF | 0% |
| Team CG | 0% |
| Team CH | 0% |
| Team CI | 0% |
| Team CJ | 0% |
| Team CK | 0% |
| Team CL | 0% |
| Team CM | 0% |
| Team CN | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 18% chance of توقع: ncaa football: 2027 national champion. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any …
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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