Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 93% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 88% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 78% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 75% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| Patriots O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| Seahawks O/U 18.5 | 70% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 69% |
| O/U 38.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| Patriots 2H O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 67% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| O/U 40.5 | 63% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| Patriots O/U 17.5 | 61% |
| O/U 41.5 | 60% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Seahawks O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 57% |
| Patriots 2H O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| O/U 43.5 | 54% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Patriots O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Patriots 2H O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 46.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Seahawks O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| O/U 47.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2H Moneyline | 41% |
| 1H Moneyline | 41% |
| Patriots Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 48.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 11.5 | 36% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown | 36% |
| A.J. Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 36% |
| Patriots O/U 23.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | 35% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 50.5 | 32% |
| Seahawks O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Patriots O/U 26.5 | 30% |
| Seahawks O/U 30.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-13 | 27% |
| O/U 52.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-20 | 24% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+ | 24% |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-12 | 23% |
| Jadarian Price: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| O/U 54.5 | 22% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 13-18 | 21% |
| George Holani: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 19-24 | 19% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6 | 19% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 25+ | 18% |
| O/U 56.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-6 | 16% |
| Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| O/U 58.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 14% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ TD | 9% |
| Jadarian Price 2+ TD | 8% |
| TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TD | 6% |
| A.J. Brown 2+ TD | 6% |
| Cooper Kupp 2+ TD | 5% |
| George Holani 2+ TD | 5% |
| Rashid Shaheed 2+ TD | 3% |
| AJ Barner 2+ TD | 3% |
| Romeo Doubs 2+ TD | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| TreVeyon Henderson 2+ TD | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for توقع: Patriots vs. Seahawks. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 9 at 8:20PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If the game is postp…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Patriots vs. Seahawks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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