Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow (-1.5) | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow (-2.5) | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
KS Cracovia Kraków and Pogoń Szczecin meet in Ekstraklasa with the market set at a 0% YES price for the “more markets” angle, which usually signals that traders need a concrete late-moving catalyst rather than broad team strength. The recent match context points to a tight, low-scoring game state: Cracovia drew 0-0 away at Lech Poznań on 25 July, while Pogoń opened with a 1-0 home loss to Legia Warszawa on 24 July.[3][7]
The historical frame is mixed but useful: across the listed head-to-head data, Pogoń have the edge overall, with 12 wins to Cracovia’s 8 and 8 draws in FotMob’s record, while BBC’s recent meeting log shows a 1-1 draw in April and a 2-1 Pogoń win in October 2025.[4][6] That kind of profile matters because the fixture has recently produced both narrow margins and late swings, including Cracovia’s stoppage-time equaliser in the April draw, which is the sort of pattern that can keep “more markets” in play if the match stays level into the final phase.[5]
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or suspension absences, and whether either side rotates after short turnaround from the opening round.[1][2] Cracovia’s recent sequence of draws and Pogoń’s defeat to Legia suggest that early team news and bench strength are more relevant here than long-range form, especially if either manager goes without a first-choice striker or full-back. With the match scheduled for 3 August at 1:00 PM ET, the last hour before kick-off is the key window for lineup-dependent moves.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More M… on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →