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توقع: KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets

"توقع: KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Pogon Szczecin (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $497K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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توقع: KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Pogon Szczecin (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5100%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
KS Cracovia Krakow (-1.5)0%
KS Cracovia Krakow (-2.5)0%
Pogon Szczecin (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 1.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 2.50%
Pogon Szczecin O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

KS Cracovia Kraków and Pogoń Szczecin meet in Ekstraklasa with the market set at a 0% YES price for the “more markets” angle, which usually signals that traders need a concrete late-moving catalyst rather than broad team strength. The recent match context points to a tight, low-scoring game state: Cracovia drew 0-0 away at Lech Poznań on 25 July, while Pogoń opened with a 1-0 home loss to Legia Warszawa on 24 July.[3][7]

The historical frame is mixed but useful: across the listed head-to-head data, Pogoń have the edge overall, with 12 wins to Cracovia’s 8 and 8 draws in FotMob’s record, while BBC’s recent meeting log shows a 1-1 draw in April and a 2-1 Pogoń win in October 2025.[4][6] That kind of profile matters because the fixture has recently produced both narrow margins and late swings, including Cracovia’s stoppage-time equaliser in the April draw, which is the sort of pattern that can keep “more markets” in play if the match stays level into the final phase.[5]

For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or suspension absences, and whether either side rotates after short turnaround from the opening round.[1][2] Cracovia’s recent sequence of draws and Pogoń’s defeat to Legia suggest that early team news and bench strength are more relevant here than long-range form, especially if either manager goes without a first-choice striker or full-back. With the match scheduled for 3 August at 1:00 PM ET, the last hour before kick-off is the key window for lineup-dependent moves.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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