Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5) | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Universitatea Cluj 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Romania SuperLiga opener between FC Universitatea Cluj and FCV Farul Constanţa took place on 19 July, with the hosts securing a 2–1 victory. The market in question covers ancillary outcomes for this fixture, which has already concluded, explaining the current 0% YES probability as the event is settled and no further resolution is possible.
Historically, ancillary markets for SuperLiga openers involving Cluj have followed the host’s strong opening form, with their 60% win rate across the last 15 matches and 1.47 goals per game average providing a reliable baseline for secondary outcomes like over/under goals or both teams to score [1]. In comparable cases, Cluj’s 1.24 xG over the same sample has consistently translated into tangible attacking output, making low-probability “no” outcomes on goal-based ancillary markets the norm when the host is in this form.
Traders should note that since the match has ended, all catalysts are retrospective: the final scoreline, half-time result (1–0), and full-time outcome (2–1) are now fixed facts [3][4]. No further announcements, line-up changes, or suspensions can affect settlement, as the settlement window closed with the match result. The initial odds favoured Cluj at 2.03, aligning with their pre-match form and confirming the market’s eventual direction [2].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FCV Farul Constanţa - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FCV Farul Constanţa … on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →