Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
20% | 80% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
20% | 80% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 20% |
| BK Hacken 1 - 1 AIK | 12% |
| BK Hacken 2 - 1 AIK | 10% |
| BK Hacken 2 - 0 AIK | 7% |
| BK Hacken 1 - 2 AIK | 7% |
| BK Hacken 2 - 2 AIK | 7% |
| BK Hacken 3 - 1 AIK | 7% |
| BK Hacken 1 - 0 AIK | 6% |
| BK Hacken 3 - 2 AIK | 5% |
| BK Hacken 0 - 1 AIK | 4% |
| BK Hacken 3 - 0 AIK | 4% |
| BK Hacken 0 - 0 AIK | 3% |
| BK Hacken 0 - 2 AIK | 3% |
| BK Hacken 1 - 3 AIK | 3% |
| BK Hacken 2 - 3 AIK | 3% |
| BK Hacken 3 - 3 AIK | 2% |
| BK Hacken 0 - 3 AIK | 1% |
Market context
BK Hacken travel to face AIK in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 27 July 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 3% implied probability for this specific exact-score outcome reflects the inherent difficulty of predicting precise match results; across European top-flight football, any single scoreline typically carries odds between 2–5% depending on team strength and expected goal output. Hacken and AIK represent mid-to-upper-table competition in Sweden's premier division, with neither club historically producing the extreme goal differentials that would make certain scorelines prohibitively unlikely.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets on Allsvenskan fixtures settle to "Any Other Score" roughly 65–70% of the time when no single outcome dominates pre-match expectations. The head-to-head record between these clubs, recent league form, and injury status will determine whether one team's attacking profile or defensive solidity shifts the probability distribution. A team missing key forwards or centre-backs typically sees lower-scoring outcomes cluster around 0–1 or 1–1, whilst full-strength sides with attacking momentum may skew towards 2–1 or 2–2 results.
Traders should monitor team news releases through late July for confirmed absences; Swedish media outlets including Fotbollskanalen and Expressen publish injury updates regularly. Hacken's recent goal-scoring rate and AIK's defensive record in their last five Allsvenskan matches will provide concrete data on whether the fixture leans towards high-scoring or low-scoring territory. Weather conditions on match day—particularly wind affecting play at the venue—can also influence final tallies, though such factors typically emerge only days before kick-off.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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