Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 28% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 27% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 10% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 10% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 0 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 2 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 0 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 1 - 3 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
| IK Sirius 3 - 1 IF Brommapojkarna | 0% |
Market context
Allsvenskan resumes on 10 August 2026 with IK Sirius hosting IF Brommapojkarna in a mid-season fixture. The current 0% probability on any specific scoreline reflects the inherent difficulty in pinpointing exact outcomes in Swedish football, where matches frequently conclude 1–1, 2–1, or 1–0. Sirius and Brommapojkarna occupy different tiers of the league table historically, with Sirius typically competing in mid-table whilst Brommapojkarna has cycled between Allsvenskan and Superettan. Head-to-head records between these sides show competitive but uneven contests, with scorelines rarely clustering around a single result. The 0% reading suggests the market has not yet settled on any single outcome as sufficiently probable to warrant meaningful backing.
Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the fixture, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions. Sirius' recent form and goal-scoring efficiency will be critical—teams averaging under 1.2 goals per match rarely produce high-scoring results. Brommapojkarna's defensive record and away-match performance history matter equally; visiting sides in Allsvenskan typically concede at higher rates than home sides. Suspension notices from the Swedish Football Association should be checked against both squads' recent disciplinary records. Weather conditions at Sirius' home ground can influence match tempo and final tallies, though August conditions in Sweden are generally stable. The settlement window closing at 17:00 GMT on match day allows only the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time for resolution, excluding any postponement complications.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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