Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
PFK CSKA Sofia travel to Israel on 13 August for a UEFA Europa League qualifying round fixture against Maccabi Tel Aviv. The Bulgarian champions enter the tie as slight favourites on most conventional bookmakers, though the 0% crowd probability suggests either extreme uncertainty about market liquidity or a technical settlement condition that has not yet crystallised. The match kicks off at 14:00 ET, with the settlement window closing at 18:00 the same day—a tight window that leaves little room for post-match clarification or official confirmation delays.
CSKA Sofia's recent domestic form has been mixed; they finished second in the Bulgarian league but showed inconsistency in cup competitions. Maccabi Tel Aviv, conversely, won the Israeli Premier League and have European pedigree from regular Champions League qualification in recent seasons. Head-to-head records between Bulgarian and Israeli clubs at this stage are sparse, making direct precedent unhelpful. The 0% reading likely reflects either a settlement ambiguity—such as uncertainty over which specific market outcome qualifies as "more markets"—or a liquidity void rather than genuine confidence in either side's chances.
Traders should monitor team sheets released 24 hours before kick-off for late injuries or suspensions that could shift the underlying match dynamics. CSKA Sofia's travel logistics to Israel and any fixture congestion in either domestic calendar could affect squad rotation. Official UEFA announcements regarding venue confirmation or scheduling changes remain possible, though unlikely at this stage. The tight settlement window means any post-match disputes over scoreline or eligibility would need rapid resolution.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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