Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC St. Gallen O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC St. Gallen O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC St. Gallen 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 51% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| FC St. Gallen 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| FC St. Gallen 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| FC St. Gallen O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| FC St. Gallen (-1.5) | 9% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) | 1% |
| FC St. Gallen (-2.5) | 1% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | 1% |
| O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC St. Gallen 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC St. Gallen meet Benfica in the Europa League qualifying tie at Kybunpark, with the visitors priced as clear favourites for the away win and the market leaning towards goals rather than a tight first leg. Recent previews consistently point to Benfica as the stronger side, citing their superior overall quality and a run that has included a 2-0 win over Villarreal, while St. Gallen are being treated as a much longer shot at home.[1][3][6]
For a market like **More Markets**, the historical read is that Benfica’s path through this sort of qualifier usually depends on whether they control the game early enough to create a multi-goal margin. Several previews also flag both teams to score and over 2.5 goals as live possibilities, which fits a scenario where Benfica’s edge in class is strong but St. Gallen still carry enough attacking threat to contribute.[2][4][10] That combination is why the crowd-implied 2% for YES looks like a very high bar for anything beyond a low-event Benfica win.[5]
The main catalysts to watch are the final team sheets and any late injury or rotation news, because qualifying ties often see stronger clubs manage minutes around the start of the season. Benfica’s away price has stayed short across previews, but that view would shift if there are surprise absences in attack or a heavily rotated XI, while St. Gallen’s chance of landing a “more markets” outcome improves if Benfica concede transition opportunities early.[1][6][9]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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