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توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 89% Match Winner 87% Map 2 Winner 73% Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) 64% Volume: $558K Liquidity: $110K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner89%
Match Winner87%
Map 2 Winner73%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)64%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
O/U 2.5 Games34%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: valorant: 100 thieves vs fut esports (bo3) - vct champions group a stands at 89% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between 100 Thieves and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This m…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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