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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) 100% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $298K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)74%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.555%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.553%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.552%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.525%
Map 2 Winner1%
Match Winner1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: valorant: evil geniuses vs leviatán esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 23 at 5:00PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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