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توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Volume: $441K Liquidity: $378K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)67%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
O/U 2.5 Games39%
Map 2 Winner35%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)32%
Match Winner26%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Gentle Mates and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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