Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 171.5 | 100% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 173.5 | 100% |
| Aneesah Morrow: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Aneesah Morrow: Points O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| O/U 176.5 | 100% |
| O/U 177.5 | 100% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky | 0% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Aneesah Morrow: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Aneesah Morrow: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Connecticut Sun’s visit to the Chicago Sky closed as a live, one-off WNBA game, and the market ultimately settled against the Sun after Chicago won 94-88 on 30 July. That result fit the recent pattern between these teams: Connecticut had already beaten Chicago 92-63 on 22 June, while Chicago had taken the earlier meeting 85-80 on 5 June, so the season series has been volatile rather than one-sided.[2][11][5]
For traders, the better frame is not the headline record but the way both teams have been scoring and conceding. ESPN listed Chicago at 9-18 and Connecticut at 7-21 entering the game, with the Sky at 5-7 at home and the Sun 3-11 away; both clubs had also been on mixed runs, with Chicago losing at New York and Atlanta by one possession before this game, while Connecticut had just lost at Washington and Indiana but had two wins in its previous five.[7][8] The Sun’s earlier late-July swing also matters: they had a 96-83 road win at Phoenix and a 90-87 home win over Portland, which showed more upside than their season-long profile suggested.[7][8]
The main catalysts were line-up availability and any late injury updates, because the market description only resolves on the final score, including overtime, and a postponement would keep it open until completion. CBS’s preview before the teams met earlier in June noted Chicago’s defensive collapse after season-ending knee injury trouble and highlighted increased minutes for rookie guard Sydney Taylor, while Connecticut’s scoring remained among the league’s weakest, which made any confirmed absence or return in backcourt rotation especially relevant to margin and outright outcome.[12]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $401K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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