Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky | 65% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 179.5 | 53% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| O/U 180.5 | 49% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 46% |
| O/U 181.5 | 46% |
| O/U 182.5 | 44% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5 | 42% |
| Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 6.5 | 42% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 15.5 | 41% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 36% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5 | 33% |
Market context
New York Liberty host the Chicago Sky with both teams carrying notable availability questions, and that is the main reason the market sits in mid-range rather than closer to a blanket favourite price. New York’s recent injury list has centred on Sabrina Ionescu’s foot issue, with Leonie Fiebich also out and Satou Sabally unavailable, while Chicago have been without Skylar Diggins and have had Sydney Taylor listed as day-to-day; those absences matter because they strip usage, playmaking and perimeter defence from both line-ups.[1][3][5]
The current 65% yes price looks consistent with a Liberty edge in a shortened, injury-hit matchup rather than a clean mismatch. In the recent head-to-head, New York has still had enough top-end talent to control the series more often, but the market should be read through the availability of Ionescu and the size of the Liberty rotation more than through historical name value alone.[1][6]
Traders should watch the pre-game status updates right up to tip-off, because a late upgrade for Ionescu or any surprise absence on Chicago’s side can move the line materially. The game is scheduled for 18 August at 9:00pm ET, and because the market settles on the final score including overtime, any postponement keeps it open until the game is actually completed rather than forcing a result on the scheduled date.[1][3][5]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $198K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →