Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
57% | 43% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
57% | 43% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Team Spoon vs. Team Coop | 57% |
| Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5 | 53% |
| Spread: Team Spoon (-4.5) | 47% |
Market context
The WNBA All-Star Game on 25 July at 8:30 PM ET will pit Team Spoon against Team Coop in what functions as an exhibition match between player-selected rosters. The 57% implied probability for Team Spoon reflects modest favouritism, typical for All-Star contests where roster construction often matters less than individual talent expression and reduced defensive intensity. All-Star games historically produce higher scoring and fewer defensive possessions than regular season play, which can amplify the impact of star players' shot selection and offensive rhythm over team cohesion.
Recent WNBA All-Star results show competitive balance between captain-selected teams, with outcomes frequently determined by which squad's perimeter shooting performs efficiently in the first half. Roster announcements released in early July will clarify which players are available; injuries or late withdrawals have occasionally shifted market expectations by 3–5 percentage points in previous years. Traders should monitor official WNBA communications for any confirmation of participating players, particularly whether high-usage guards or forwards from either team are unavailable, as depth at those positions directly influences pace and spacing.
The settlement window closes 26 July at 00:30 UTC, allowing for overtime resolution. Postponement would extend the market open, whilst outright cancellation triggers a 50-50 split. Current odds suggest the market has priced in standard roster availability; material changes to either team's lineup in the 48 hours before tip-off could shift the probability meaningfully.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $49K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Team Spoon vs. Team Coop. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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