Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -9.5 | 65% |
| Spread -10.5 | 61% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| Spread -12.5 | 54% |
| O/U 167.5 | 53% |
| Georgia Amoore: Points O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 168.5 | 48% |
| O/U 170.5 | 47% |
| O/U 169.5 | 47% |
| Michaela Onyenwere: Points O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Georgia Amoore: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Lauren Betts: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 17.5 | 34% |
| Lauren Betts: Points O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Georgia Amoore: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 18.5 | 27% |
| Lauren Betts: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Assists O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics | 13% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 4% |
Market context
The Toronto Tempo travel to Washington on 19 August for a regular-season WNBA fixture against the Mystics, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30PM ET. The 13% implied probability for a Tempo victory reflects their position as substantial underdogs in this matchup, a valuation that warrants scrutiny against both teams' current trajectories and recent head-to-head dynamics.
Toronto's road record this season has been notably weaker than their home performances, a pattern common amongst expansion franchises adjusting to travel demands. The Mystics, meanwhile, have benefited from improved roster continuity following mid-season acquisitions and have won three of their last four home games. Historical context matters here: teams favoured at 87% win roughly 87% of the time in WNBA regular-season play, though variance increases substantially when one side is an expansion outfit still establishing baseline consistency. The current line suggests Washington's superiority is genuine rather than inflated by recency bias.
Traders should monitor injury reports released in the 48 hours preceding tipoff, particularly regarding Washington's perimeter depth and Toronto's ball-handling capacity—both factors that significantly alter offensive efficiency in WNBA play. Any late roster adjustments or unexpected absences could shift the probability meaningfully. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on 19 August, allowing for overtime resolution. Given the Tempo's historical struggles in high-pressure road environments and the Mystics' recent form advantage, the current odds appear appropriately calibrated unless material information emerges regarding player availability or coaching adjustments.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $138K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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