Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tony Dunst | 99% |
| Kristen Foxen | 98% |
| Robert Eichele | 97% |
| Brian Hastings | 97% |
| Kathy Liebert | 97% |
| Stephen Song | 97% |
| Michael Mizrachi | 96% |
| Jeremy Ausmus | 96% |
| Chris Moneymaker | 96% |
| Alex Foxen | 96% |
| Greg Raymer | 57% |
| Stephen Chidwick | 51% |
| Martin Zamani | 51% |
| Ryuta Nakai | 51% |
| Chris Hunichen | 51% |
| Erik Seidel | 49% |
| Greg Merson | 49% |
| Gerard Piqué | 49% |
| Joe McKeehen | 49% |
| Daniel Negreanu | 5% |
| Martin Kabrhel | 3% |
| Phil Hellmuth | 3% |
| Freddy Deeb | 3% |
| Scott Seiver | 2% |
| Robert Varkonyi | 1% |
| Jason Koon | 0% |
| Joe Cada | 0% |
| Daniel Weinman | 0% |
| Damian Salas | 0% |
| Viktor Blom | 0% |
| Sean O'Malley | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 99% probability to توقع: wsop 2026 main event: which players will cash. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishin…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash on توقعات كورة
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