Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to توقع: guangzhou open, qualification: polina kudermetova vs alevtina ibragimova. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Alevtina Ibragimova in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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