Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska | 88% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Match O/U 21.5 | 87% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 74% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Match O/U 22.5 | 67% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Match O/U 23.5 | 63% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: warsaw: carol young suh lee vs weronika falkowska. This market refers to the tennis match between Carol Young Suh Lee and Weronika Falkowska in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carol Young…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Weronika Falkowska. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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