Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova | 96% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 2 Winner | 90% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 90% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Match O/U 21.5 | 60% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Game Spread +/-5.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Match O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 14% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: us open wta: naomi osaka vs anastasia zakharova. This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Anastasia Zakharova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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