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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Football snapshot for "توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 79% Game 1 Winner 69% Game 3 Winner 66% O/U 3.5 Games 65% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $447K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner79%
Game 1 Winner69%
Game 3 Winner66%
O/U 3.5 Games65%
Game 2 Winner64%
Game 4 Winner59%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)59%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?54%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 3?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?38%
Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)29%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 79%. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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