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توقع: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

"توقع: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

First Blood in Game 1? 74% First Blood in Game 2? 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $426K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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توقع: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?74%
First Blood in Game 2?72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Game 1 Winner43%
Game 2 Winner43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Odd/Even Total Kills42%
Match Winner40%
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 74% YES probability for توقع: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana. This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for July 30 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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