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توقع: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

NRFI 100% O/U 10.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $415K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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توقع: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 10.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 11.5100%
O/U 9.5100%
O/U 12.5100%
O/U 13.5100%
O/U 14.5100%
O/U 15.5100%
O/U 16.5100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals0%
Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
Extra Innings0%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
O/U 17.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals. In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 26 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "توقع: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $415K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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