Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
27% | 73% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
27% | 73% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Inter Miami CF | 27% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 13% |
| Los Angeles FC | 8% |
| Nashville SC | 8% |
| Chicago Fire FC | 7% |
| FC Cincinnati | 5% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 4% |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 4% |
| Sporting Kansas City | 4% |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 2% |
| LA Galaxy | 2% |
| New York City FC | 2% |
| New York Red Bulls | 2% |
| Real Salt Lake | 2% |
| San Diego FC | 2% |
| Atlanta United FC | 1% |
| Charlotte FC | 1% |
| Columbus Crew | 1% |
| FC Dallas | 1% |
| D.C. United | 1% |
| Minnesota United FC | 1% |
| New England Revolution | 1% |
| Orlando City SC | 1% |
| Toronto FC | 1% |
| Austin FC | 0% |
| Colorado Rapids | 0% |
| CF Montréal | 0% |
| Philadelphia Union | 0% |
| Portland Timbers | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 27% chance of توقع: mls cup winner 2026. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: MLS Cup Winner 2026. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: MLS Cup Winner 2026 on توقعات كورة
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