Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 73% |
| Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| O/U 227.5 | 71% |
| Spread -5.5 | 66% |
| O/U 230.5 | 66% |
| Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 63% |
| O/U 232.5 | 61% |
| O/U 233.5 | 59% |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) | 56% |
| Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5 | 55% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Spread -9.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 54% |
| O/U 236.5 | 52% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| O/U 237.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 238.5 | 48% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5 | 48% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Spread -11.5 | 46% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 18.5 | 46% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| O/U 240.5 | 43% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 41% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 6.5 | 39% |
| Spread -13.5 | 39% |
| O/U 243.5 | 37% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Spread -16.5 | 31% |
| O/U 246.5 | 31% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Moneyline | 28% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 28% |
| O/U 249.5 | 25% |
| Spread -19.5 | 23% |
| Bulls vs. Raptors | 22% |
| Spread -22.5 | 17% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 12% |
Market context
Market consensus: 82% chance of توقع: bulls vs. raptors. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $112K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Bulls vs. Raptors. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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