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توقع: CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% CD Los Chankas O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $73K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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توقع: CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CD Los Chankas (-1.5)0%
Sport Boys Association (-1.5)0%
CD Los Chankas (-2.5)0%
Sport Boys Association (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas O/U 1.50%
CD Los Chankas O/U 2.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CD Los Chankas 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
CD Los Chankas 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Sport Boys Association 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

CD Los Chankas face Sport Boys Association in a Peru Liga 1 fixture scheduled for 19 July at 12:00 PM ET, with the settlement window closing shortly after the match concludes. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for the unspecified "more markets" outcome suggests the crowd perceives the event as virtually impossible, likely reflecting a specific prop such as a high-scoring draw or a rare disciplinary incident that has not materialised in recent encounters.

Historically, this pairing has been tight and low-scoring, with the most recent head-to-head record showing a narrow 1-0 victory for Los Chankas and the live match data indicating a 0-0 stalemate deep into the second half as of the preview window [3][4]. Comparable cases in Peru Liga 1 where similar "more markets" props hit 0% probability typically involve fixtures where both teams prioritise defensive solidity over attacking risk, a pattern evident here given the Asian Handicap favouring Los Chankas by -0.5 goals at -110 odds while the total goals market leans heavily toward under 2.5 [2].

Traders should monitor final line-up announcements for any late suspensions or injuries, particularly for Los Chankas’ attacking players, as the -155 moneyline suggests a strong home win expectation that could be undermined by a key absence [2]. The match is already underway or concluded in live feeds with a 0-0 scoreline at the 54th-minute mark, meaning any post-match prop dependent on goals or specific events is effectively dead unless the market refers to a future fixture or a different statistical category not yet resolved [4]. No recent news source has flagged major squad changes, but the lack of goals in the first 54 minutes strongly reinforces the 0% probability stance for goal-heavy props.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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