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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 77% O/U 1.5 Rounds 74% Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil 63% O/U 2.5 Rounds 63% Volume: $145K Liquidity: $196K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds77%
O/U 1.5 Rounds74%
Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil63%
O/U 2.5 Rounds63%
Fight to Go the Distance?60%
Fight won by KO/TKO?26%
Young to win by KO/TKO?24%
Fight won by submission?13%
Dorsainvil to win by KO/TKO?8%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of توقع: ufc fight night: gauge young vs. stan dorsainvil (lightweight, prelims). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stan Dorsainvil at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, schedul…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 77% for "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $145K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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