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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 99% O/U 0.5 Rounds 99% Volume: $853K Liquidity: $14K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?99%
O/U 0.5 Rounds99%
Davis to win by KO/TKO?50%
Aliev to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight won by submission?44%
Fight won by KO/TKO?38%
Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: ufc fight night: mike davis vs. nurullo aliev (lightweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Mike Davis" if Mike Davis is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 1.5 Rounds at 100% for "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)".

O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $853K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Related Topics

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