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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

"توقع: UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 3.5 Rounds 78% O/U 0.5 Rounds 69% O/U 1.5 Rounds 59% O/U 2.5 Rounds 57% Volume: $429K Liquidity: $177K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Rounds78%
O/U 0.5 Rounds69%
O/U 1.5 Rounds59%
O/U 2.5 Rounds57%
Ends before Round 5?49%
Fight to Go the Distance?44%
Ends before Round 4?44%
Ends before Round 3?41%
Decision or Draw41%
Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr.39%
Fight won by decision?39%
O/U 4.5 Rounds35%
Ends before Round 2?33%
Fight won by KO/TKO?28%
Fight won by submission?24%
Rosas Jr. in Round 122%
Rosas Jr. to win by KO/TKO?14%
Barcelos to win by KO/TKO?13%
Barcelos in Round 112%
Barcelos in Round 312%
Barcelos in Round 412%
Barcelos in Round 512%
Rosas Jr. in Round 212%
Rosas Jr. in Round 312%
Rosas Jr. in Round 512%
Barcelos in Round 211%
Rosas Jr. in Round 410%

Market context

The توقع: UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 78% YES. This market will resolve to "Raoni Barcelos" if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Raul Rosas Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 3.5 Rounds at 78% for "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

O/U 3.5 Rounds 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $429K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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