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توقع: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 95% Paris Saint-Germain O/U 0.5 87% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% O/U 1.5 81% Volume: $202K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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توقع: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Paris Saint-Germain O/U 0.587%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
O/U 1.581%
1st Half O/U 0.575%
Paris Saint-Germain 2nd Half O/U 0.566%
Aston Villa O/U 0.565%
Paris Saint-Germain O/U 1.561%
O/U 2.559%
Paris Saint-Germain 1st Half O/U 0.559%
Both Teams to Score57%
2nd Half O/U 1.551%
Aston Villa 2nd Half O/U 0.545%
1st Half O/U 1.540%
Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5)36%
O/U 3.536%
Aston Villa 1st Half O/U 0.536%
Paris Saint-Germain O/U 2.533%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half31%
Paris Saint-Germain 2nd Half O/U 1.531%
Aston Villa O/U 1.528%
2nd Half O/U 2.526%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
Paris Saint-Germain 1st Half O/U 1.523%
O/U 4.519%
Paris Saint-Germain (-2.5)18%
1st Half O/U 2.516%
Aston Villa 2nd Half O/U 1.513%
O/U 5.59%
Aston Villa O/U 2.58%
Aston Villa 1st Half O/U 1.58%
Aston Villa (-1.5)6%
Aston Villa (-2.5)1%

Market context

توقع: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 95%. More markets for the UEFA Super Cup game, scheduled for August 12 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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