Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Shakira | 100% |
| Coldplay | 100% |
| Burna Boy | 100% |
| Justin Bieber | 100% |
| BTS | 100% |
| Rihanna | 0% |
| The Weeknd | 0% |
| Bad Bunny | 0% |
| Beyoncé | 0% |
| Lady Gaga | 0% |
| Taylor Swift | 0% |
| Karol G | 0% |
| Ed Sheeran | 0% |
| J Balvin | 0% |
| Rauw Alejandro | 0% |
| Rosalía | 0% |
| Bruno Mars | 0% |
| Drake | 0% |
| Maluma | 0% |
| Dua Lipa | 0% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0% |
| Billie Eilish | 0% |
| Ariana Grande | 0% |
| Daddy Yankee | 0% |
| Jennifer Lopez | 0% |
| Pitbull | 0% |
| Post Malone | 0% |
| Travis Scott | 0% |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0% |
| Jay-Z | 0% |
| Eminem | 0% |
| Harry Styles | 0% |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 0% |
| Chappell Roan | 0% |
| Charli XCX | 0% |
| SZA | 0% |
| Cardi B | 0% |
| Nicki Minaj | 0% |
| Adele | 0% |
| Sam Smith | 0% |
| Camila Cabello | 0% |
| Myke Towers | 0% |
| Feid | 0% |
| Ozuna | 0% |
| Anuel AA | 0% |
| Peso Pluma | 0% |
| Tems | 0% |
| Wizkid | 0% |
| Davido | 0% |
| Calvin Harris | 0% |
| David Guetta | 0% |
| IShowSpeed | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: who will perform at world cup halftime show? stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced b…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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