Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 66% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 2 Winner | 32% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Match O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson | 12% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: mubadala citi dc open: elisabetta cocciaretto vs clara tauson. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Clara Tauson in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This mar…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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