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توقع: Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova 100% Completed Match 100% Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 1 Winner 100% Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $72K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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توقع: Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova100%
Completed Match100%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 1 Winner100%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 2 Winner100%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Match O/U 21.50%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Match O/U 22.50%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Match O/U 23.50%
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

توقع: Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Guiomar Maristany and Rebeka Masarova in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar M…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Rebeka Masarova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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